Predictions

CS2 match predictions, with receipts.

We do not chase views by picking the loudest team. Each prediction shows the inputs: round difference over the last 60 maps, map veto win rate, roster continuity, and travel state. If the model disagrees with the market by more than 5 percent, we say so.

Predictions are a forecast, not financial advice. The historical hit rate is tracked and published quarterly.

How our predictions work

Round differential. Net rounds over the last 60 maps, weighted toward the last 20. This tells us more than map win rate.
Map pool matchup. We simulate each map in the pool based on recent win rates and the veto order they will likely run.
Roster continuity. Stand-ins and new signings get a 4 percent penalty for the first month.
Travel state. LAN tournaments arriving less than 48 hours before a match get a small penalty. It is not a myth. The data shows it.
Model vs market. We check our number against the closing line. Edges under 3 percent get ignored. Vig eats that.

Latest predictions

Predictions

CS2 betting predictions: a CSGO predictions framework that holds up

A working framework for CS2 match predictions. Round differential, veto modeling, roster continuity, a worked example, and what to do when your model disagrees with the market price.

Apr 9, 2026 · 20 min

Predictions

CS GO match predictions: how to read them, how to write your own

How to evaluate a CS2 match prediction you read online, what a useful prediction should include, a worked example in template form, and how to write your own before placing a bet.

Mar 29, 2026 · 18 min

What you will not find here

Locks. If anyone calls a bet a lock, close the tab.
Same-match parlays pitched as "value." Parlays raise the hold, not the edge.
Picks without reasoning. If we cannot explain why, we do not publish it.